SNJ Business People

Stocks Up, Unemployment Picture Mixed, Market Basket Stable, and Casino Revenues Up from Last Month

08/28/10

  This month we continue to track some key metrics that create a snapshot of the regional economy. As you look at the statistics, remember that they will represent the most recent data available (to us), so if you have something that is more up-to-date or more accurate, please let us know.
  Here’s our look at where the region stands at the mid-way point of the third quarter.
  Casino revenues for July were up from June by almost $80 million, but still off from 2009 levels by 5%.
  Unemployment figures for the region have a “mixed” look, with the percentage of the workforce that is unemployed dropping in four of our eight counties, while it was up in two, and unchanged in two from May to June. Burlington and Salem showed slight increases, although Burlington continues to lead the region at 9.1%, which is .4% lower than the state and federal numbers (both stood at 9.5% for June).
  Cape May was the biggest winner, dropping from 10.6% to 8.5%, which we can probably attribute to all of the seasonal jobs connected with the county’s heavy-duty tourism industry.
  Our SNJBP Stock Index showed improvement, up 2.6% for the year. Only three of the ten stocks we’re following are down for the year—based on the early August closing prices.
  Finally our consumer inflation watch is up slightly (+ $.19) at $75.96 for a prototypical “market basket.” Milk, lettuce and gas were up, while tomatoes dropped.
  Stay tuned as we watch what happens during the rest of the year. And if you think there are some “numbers” we should consider adding, drop SNJBP publisher Jenny Ryan a note at jenny@snjbp.com.
Casino Revenues:     July 2010    (millions)                  UP      (from June)                       
                   Jul’10      Jun’10      May’10      Jan‘10      2009 Total Rev
Win:           $363.8     $286.8     $319.70     $294.20        $2,005.30       
% Chng      -5.0%      -11.1%       -9.0%       -8.5%%        -13.2%*
(from 2009)                                                                    (from 2008)

Unemployment Rate:                       June  2010                    MIXED                                    
           
                             Jun ’10        May ’10        Apr ’10        Mar ‘10  
Atlantic                   12.0%         12.4%          12.6%          13.6%    
Burlington                 9.1%           9.0%            9.0%           9.6%
Camden                  10.6%         10.6%          10.5%         11.0%
Cape May                 8.5%         10.6%          12.6%         16.3%
Cumberland            12.9%         13.0%          13.1%         14.4%
Gloucester               10.1%         10.1%         10.2%         10.8%
Ocean                        9.8%         10.0%         10.3%         11.4%
Salem                       11.1%         10.9%         11.0%         11.8%   

NJ                               9.5%          9.7%           9.8%           9.7%
US                              9.5%          9.7%           9.9%           9.7%

Stock Watch:                         August 2010                                      UP                                      
                                                            Closing                 Closing               YTD
                                    Ticker                Price                     Price              Change
Company Name         Symbol            12/31/09                 8/9/10                  ($)   

Campbell Soup             CPB                 33.80                    36.21                 2.41
Checkpoint                    CKP                 15.25                   20.02                 4.77
Gannett                         GCI                  14.85                   13.49                -1.36
J&J Snack                    JJSF                 39.96                   40.46                   .50
L-3 Communication        LLL                 86.95                   74.55              -12.40
Lockheed Martin           LMT                 75.35                    75.60                  .25
PHH Corp                     PHH                 16.11                    22.35                6.24
PSEG                            PEG                 33.25                   32.67                 -.58
TD Bank                         TD                   62.72                   71.70                8.98
Valero                            VLO                 16.75                   18.23                 1.48

TOTAL:                                               $394.99               $405.28             $10.29                                                                                                                                     (+2.6%)

Regional Market Basket:                    August 2010                     ?                                     
                           
                                                                               Aug ’10              Jul ’10              Jun ’10
Breakfast:       
Eggs, large, 1 dozen,                                               $2.69                $2.69                $2.69
Acme brand         
Breakfast Cereal:                                                     $4.49                $4.49                $4.49
Cheerios (14 ounce box)      
Milk                                                                          $4.15                $3.99                $3.99
(1%, 2%, or whole, Acme brand; gallon)   
Coffee                                                                      $3.89                $3.89                $3.89
(Maxwell House 11 oz. canister)       
Tropicana Orange Juice                                           $4.19               $4.19                $4.19
(1/2 gallon carton)   

Lunch:
Campbells Soup                                                      $5.00                $5.00               $5.00
(Double Noodle; 3 cans)       
Bumblebee Chunk Lite Tuna                                   $1.39                $1.39               $1.39
Butter                                                                       $3.99                $3.99               $3.99
(Acme brand, one pound)        
Kraft Crackerbarrel Cheese                                     $5.39                $5.39               $5.39
(10 oz. pkg)       
Stroehman’s Bread                                                  $3.59                $3.59               $3.59
Whole Wheat (24 oz. pkg)

Dinner:
3–pack Romaine Lettuce,                                        $3.99                $3.78               $3.99
Acme brand        
Plum Tomatoes (1 lb.)                                              $1.79                $1.99               $2.99
Classico Spaghetti Sauce                                        $3.19                $3.19               $3.19
(24 oz. jar)       
San Giorgio Spaghetti                                             $1.65                 $1.65               $1.69
(1 lb. box)     
         
Health and Beauty Aids/Cleaning:
Tide Laundry Detergent
(100 oz. bottle, liquid)                                            $15.99               $15.99             $16.49
Pantene Classic Care Shampoo
(25.4 oz.)                                                                 $6.99                 $6.99               $6.99
Scott Bathroom Tissue
(individual 1K sheet roll)                                          $1.09                 $1.09               $1.09

Gasoline:
Valero Gasoline Regular Unleaded
(cash/gallon)                                                          $2.499               $2.479             $2.479

Total Cost:                                                             $75.96              $75.77             $76.38

  •    The mission of the Next Generation Aviation Research Park (ARTP) is to promote sustained economic growth and job creation throughout New Jersey and the nation by implementing and operating a cooperative, state-of-the-art aviation Research Park that will support the evolution of the Next Generation aviation environment.
       At full build out, the Park will include seven multi-story buildings with a total of over 400,000 square feet of laboratory and research space located on the campus of the FAA William J. Hughes Technical Center which is the nation’s leading air transportation Federal Facility.

  •   January is not a big month for “don’t miss” events, But it is home to one of, if not “the,” premier events of the year—the State Chamber’s annual “Walk to Washington.”
      The tradition began in 1937 when several of the state's top business executives took a train to Washington to have dinner with New Jersey's congressional delegation. The rest is history. The Walk to Washington obtained its name when participants realized that few sit on the train; they literally walk the train mingling and exchanging business cards the whole way to Washington.