A Snapshot of Where South Jersey’s Economy Stands…
03/21/10
This month we continue to look at some key metrics that create a snapshot of the regional economy.
We’re adding a few barometers each month, so that we’ll end up with a pretty comprehensive picture of what’s happening in the region by year’s end.
In January, we started with the basics, population, square miles, median household income and unemployment rate. In February, we removed media household income (it’s an annual number) and updated the unemployment numbers (every South Jersey county was up…the state was up…and the country was flat).
We also added casino revenues and our own SNJBP Index of the stock prices of publicly traded companies that are important to the region.
This month, we’re too early for new unemployment numbers on a county-by-county basis, but we are going to update casino revenues and stock prices and add some numbers for the housing industry (average and median new home prices…which, unfortunately, are only calculated on a quarterly basis).
The average sales price for a new home in South Jersey in the third quarter of last year was $408,365, down 4% from the second quarter and about $90,000 lower than the statewide number, which was up 1% at $495,710.
There were 1,726 new home sales across the region in the quarter, with Cape May County leading the way in number of sales (115), average price ($570,648) and median price ($420,000).
By the way, unemployment statewide was down a little, following the national economy. But we were still down almost 103,000 jobs from January 2009.
Unemployment Rate—January 2010:
NJ – 9.9% US – 9.7% NY – 8.8% PA – 8.8% DE – 9.0% MD – 7.5%
And here’s how we fared compared to our neighbors fared over the last year.
State Jan 2009 Jan 2010 Change Jobs Lost
NJ 7.5% 9.9% 2.4% 102,800
DE 7.0% 9.0% 2.0% 13,800
NY 7.1% 8.8% 1.6% 183,200
PA 6.8% 8.8% 2.0% 143,300
MD 6.1% 7.5% 1.4% 61,900
Atlantic City’s casino win in February was 15.7% below the same month a year ago, but we have to take into account three significant snow storms before we jump to any major conclusions.
As for our SNJBP Stock Watch, the composite for our 10 publicly traded stocks is up $35.93 for the year to date (through 3-5), a gain of 9.1%.
As you look at the statistics, remember that they will represent the most recent data available (to us), so if you have something that is more up-to-date or more accurate, please let us know.
Here’s a look at where the region stands as we head for the end of the first quarter.
Stay tuned as we watch what happens during the months ahead. And if you think there are some “numbers” we should consider adding, drop SNJBP publisher Jenny Ryan a note at jenny@snjbp.com.
Casino Revenues: February 2010
(2/10) (1/10) (2009 Total)
Revenues $261.60 $294.20 $2,005.30
% Change from 2009) -15.7% - 8.5% -13.20% (from 2008)
SNJBP Stock Watch:
Company Name Ticker Symbol Closing Price Closing Price YTD Change ($)
12/31/09 3/5/10
Campbell Soup CPB 33.8 34.39 0.59
Checkpoint CKP 15.25 21.50 6.25
Gannett GCI 14.85 16.27 1.42
J&J Snack JJSF 39.96 42.49 2.53
L-3 Communication LLL 86.95 93.16 6.21
Lockheed Martin LMT 75.35 81.27 5.92
PHH Corp PHH 16.11 22.18 6.07
PSEG PEG 33.25 31.20 -2.05
TD Bank TD 62.72 68.89 6.17
Valero VLO 16.75 19.57 2.82
TOTAL: $394.99 $430.92 +$35.93 (+9.1%)
Average and median new homes sales prices: 2009 3Q
Number of Total sales Average Median
County new houses price avg_sal_pr med_sale_pr
Atlantic 78 35,478,254 $454,849 $300,000
Burlington 48 18,283,241 380,901 349,990
Camden 54 16,555,729 306,588 240,570
Cape May 115 65,624,549 570,648 420,000
Cumberland 33 6,690,011 202,728 188,900
Gloucester 86 26,826,487 311,936 255,043
Salem 3 829,800 276,600 287,000
New Jersey 1,726 $855,595,733 $495,710 $370,400
2009 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter
Average Average Average Percent
County sales price sales price sales price Change
Atlantic $368,655 $470,348 $ 454,849 3%
Burlington 374,820 417,034 $ 380,901 -8%
Camden 333,672 325,879 $ 306,588 -6%
Cape May 471,995 572,572 $ 570,648 0%
Cumberland 241,460 232,213 $ 202,728 -12%
Gloucester 280,218 325,816 $ 31,936 -4%
Salem 248,007 294,884 $ 276,600 -6%
South Jersey $349,786 $423,799 $ 408,365 -4%
New Jersey $459,857 $491,617 $ 495,710 1%
The good news is that building permits were up 13% in South Jersey—as reported for November 2009 over November 2008.















